Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 31

May 11, 2024 at 7pm UK

King Fahd International Stadium

Al Shabab
1 - 2
Al-Ahli

Carrasco (19')
Pereira (3'), Saiss (50')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kessie (45+10'), Firmino (53')
Ibanez (47'), Kessie (85'), Al-Majhad (90+1'), Ayidh Al Rashidi (90+7')

Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al-Ahli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions

Last Game: Al Shabab 2-0 Al Raed
Saturday, May 4 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Ahli
31.68% ( -0.58)	23.25% ( 0.44)	45.06% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 62.7% (

-1.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.37% (

-2.41)

38.62% (

2.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.07% (

-2.6)

60.93% (

2.59)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.03% (

-1.5)

23.97% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.79% (

-2.19)

58.21% (

2.19)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.47% (

-0.9)

17.53% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.95% (

-1.58)

48.05% (

1.58)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 31.68%

Al-Ahli 45.06%

Draw 23.25%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.68%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.46) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.25%	1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.61) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 3.97% Total : 45.06%