Saudi Pro League Gameweek 31
May 11, 2024 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT King Fahd International Stadium
  • Vitor Pereira 3' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 19' goal
  • Romain Saiss 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ibanez 47'
  • goal Roberto Firmino 53'
  • goal Franck Kessie 45'+10'
  • yellowcard Franck Kessie 85'
  • yellowcard Mohammed Al-Majhad 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Fahad Ayidh Al Rashidi 90'+7'

Al Shabab vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 4, 2024 4.00pm
Al Shabab 2 - 0 Al Raed
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Yannick Carrasco

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
May 6, 2024 7.00pm
Al-Ahli 1 - 2 Al-Hilal
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Firas Albirakan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Ahli in this match.

Result

Al Shabab 31.68% (-0.59)
Draw 23.25% (+0.44)
Al-Ahli 45.06% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.7% (-1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.37% (-2.42)
Under 2.5 38.62% (+2.41)
Over 3.5 39.07% (-2.60)
Under 3.5 60.93% (+2.60)
Over 4.5 21.4% (-2.10)
Under 4.5 78.6% (+2.10)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5 76.03% (-1.51)
Under 0.5 23.97% (+1.50)
Over 1.5 41.79% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 58.21% (+2.19)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 82.47% (-0.90)
Under 0.5 17.53% (+0.90)
Over 1.5 51.95% (-1.58)
Under 1.5 48.05% (+1.58)

Score analysis

Al Shabab 31.68%
Draw 23.25%
Al-Ahli 45.06%
Al Shabab
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6% (+0.42)
2-0 @ 4.29% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.55% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 2.04% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.45% (+0.44)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.2% (+0.47)
3-3 @ 1.8% (-0.20)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.25%
Al-Ahli
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 7.32% (+0.61)
0-2 @ 6.37% (+0.36)
1-3 @ 5.28% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 3.77% (-0.24)
0-3 @ 3.7% (+0.11)
1-4 @ 2.3% (-0.11)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.16)
0-4 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 45.06%

Head to Head

Saudi Pro League Gameweek 14
Nov 25, 2023 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT King Abdullah Sports City
  • Bassam Al-Hurayji 29' yellowcard
  • Matthias Jaissle 30' yellowcard
  • Gabri Veiga 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Abdulbasit Hindi 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Romain Saiss 47'
  • yellowcard Iago Santos 76'
  • yellowcard Fawaz Al-Sagour 90'+5'