Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Abha
78.64% ( -0.21)	13.81% ( 0.13)	7.55% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 46.97% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.04% (

-0.34)

34.96% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.06% (

-0.38)

56.94% (

0.37)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.9% (

-0.12)

7.1% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.12% (

-0.31)

25.88% (

0.3)

Abha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.57% (

-0.04)

49.43% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.74% (

-0.03)

84.26% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 78.63%

Abha 7.55%

Draw 13.81%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Abha
2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.82% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 78.63%	1-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.71% Total : 13.81%	0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.77% Total : 7.55%