Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 18, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ahli5 - 1Abha
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al Shabab 1-2 Al-Ahli
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Goals
for
for
61
Last Game: Abha 0-0 Damac
Friday, May 10 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, May 10 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Ahli 3-1 Abha
Although Abha have stabilised under the management of Mosimane, they may want to prioritise other games such as their upcoming clash against already relegated, last-placed Al-Hazem on May 27. Additionally, Al-Ahli will likely put maximum effort into securing a positive result against their opponents given that victory will all but ensure their place in next season's AFC Champions League. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 78.64%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Abha had a probability of 7.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.82%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.54%), while for an Abha win it was 0-1 (2.47%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Abha |
78.64% ( -0.21) | 13.81% ( 0.13) | 7.55% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.97% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
