Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 30
May 3, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium

Abha
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

Krychowiak (56' pen.), Al-Ali (69'), Noguera (73')
Jaber (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
(49'), Jota (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Abha and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Abha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Okhdood 4-0 Abha
Saturday, April 27 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ittihad 1-3 Al Shabab
Friday, April 26 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 66.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Abha had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for an Abha win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
AbhaDrawAl Ittihad
15.13% (-0.168 -0.17)18.06% (-0.195 -0.2)66.82% (0.363 0.36)
Both teams to score 58.95% (0.337 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.54% (0.62 0.62)33.46% (-0.62 -0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.75% (0.70500000000001 0.71)55.25% (-0.705 -0.7)
Abha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.98% (0.191 0.19)35.02% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.24% (0.203 0.2)71.76% (-0.203 -0.2)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.72% (0.252 0.25)9.28% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.66% (0.59700000000001 0.6)31.34% (-0.597 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Abha 15.13%
    Al Ittihad 66.82%
    Draw 18.06%
AbhaDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 4.25% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-0 @ 3.41% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-0 @ 1.79% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.01 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.13%
1-1 @ 8.11% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 18.06%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 7.64% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 7.28% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 4.54% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
0-4 @ 4.33% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 4.01% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.38% (0.056 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.16% (0.063 0.06)
0-5 @ 2.06% (0.05 0.05)
2-5 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 4.76%
Total : 66.82%

How you voted: Abha vs Al Ittihad

Abha
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Al Ittihad
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Ittihad
4-2
Abha
Benzema (38' pen., 67', 69'), Coronado (54')
Kadesh (65'), Al-Sahafi (90+3')
Toko Ekambi (51'), Al-Jumayah (85')
Natiq (41')
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