Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Okhdood win with a probability of 58.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Abha had a probability of 19.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Okhdood win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for an Abha win it was 1-2 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Okhdood would win this match.