Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 32
May 17, 2024 at 7pm UK
KSU Soccer Stadium

Al-Nassr
1 - 1
Al-Hilal

Otavio (1')
Mane (41'), Brozovic (65'), Laporte (68'), Al-Khaibari (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (90+10' pen.)
Kanoo (24'), Neves (36'), Milinkovic-Savic (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Last Game: Al Okhdood 2-3 Al-Nassr
Thursday, May 9 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Hilal 4-1 Al Hazem
Saturday, May 11 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Al-Hilal had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Al-Hilal win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl-Hilal
44.3% (0.605 0.6)22.66% (0.751 0.75)33.04% (-1.353 -1.35)
Both teams to score 65.57% (-3.428 -3.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.87% (-4.266 -4.27)35.13% (4.269 4.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.87% (-4.911 -4.91)57.13% (4.913 4.91)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.55% (-1.459 -1.46)16.44% (1.461 1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.87% (-2.703 -2.7)46.13% (2.704 2.7)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-2.684 -2.68)21.53% (2.687 2.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (-4.3 -4.3)54.59% (4.302 4.3)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 44.3%
    Al-Hilal 33.04%
    Draw 22.66%
Al-NassrDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.37 0.37)
1-0 @ 6.39% (1.031 1.03)
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.682 0.68)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.253 0.25)
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.28 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.57% (0.039 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.238 -0.24)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 44.3%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.871 0.87)
2-2 @ 6.8% (-0.282 -0.28)
0-0 @ 3.54% (0.717 0.72)
3-3 @ 2.1% (-0.398 -0.4)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 22.66%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.072 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.725 0.73)
0-2 @ 4.18% (0.243 0.24)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-3 @ 3.48% (-0.459 -0.46)
0-3 @ 2.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.252 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.308 -0.31)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 33.04%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al-Hilal

Al-Nassr
44.6%
Draw
14.5%
Al-Hilal
41.0%
83
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2024 6pm
Club Friendlies
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (17'), Al-Dawsari (30')
Malcom (28'), Lodi (63'), Mitrovic (90+2')

Talisca (8'), Brozovic (22'), Ronaldo (53'), Otavio (85'), Yahya (90+6')
> Preview
Dec 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 15
Al-Hilal
3-0
Al-Nassr
Milinkovic-Savic (64'), Mitrovic (90', 90+2')
Mitrovic (69'), Koulibaly (79'), Malcom (90+5'), Jahfali (90+10')
Albulayhi (90+3')

Otavio (40'), Yahya (90+2')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2021 7pm
Semi-Finals
Al-Nassr
1-2
Al-Hilal
Talisca (50')
Al-Ghanam (75'), Al Amri (85')
Alawjami (45+2')
Marega (17'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Jang (21'), Albulayhi (63')