Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 31
May 11, 2024 at 4pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium

Al-Hilal
4 - 1
Al Hazem

Mitrovic (15' pen., 45+3'), Al-Juwaid (39' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (45+6')
Neves (38'), Koulibaly (47'), Tambakti (90')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Selemani (34')
Ricardo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Hazem, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 1-2 Al-Hilal
Monday, May 6 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Hazem

All competitions
Last Game: Al Hazem 0-0 Al Okhdood
Thursday, May 2 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 85.67%. A draw had a probability of 9.2% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 5.09%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.56%) and 4-0 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.02%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Hazem
85.67% (-0.738 -0.74)9.24% (0.424 0.42)5.09% (0.316 0.32)
Both teams to score 53.39% (0.21100000000001 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
79.31% (-0.785 -0.78)20.69% (0.786 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
60.93% (-1.114 -1.11)39.07% (1.114 1.11)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.74% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)3.26% (0.2169 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
85.57% (-0.747 -0.75)14.43% (0.749 0.75)
Al Hazem Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.19% (0.34 0.34)44.81% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.22% (0.272 0.27)80.78% (-0.271 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 85.67%
    Al Hazem 5.09%
    Draw 9.24%
Al-HilalDrawAl Hazem
3-0 @ 9.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.182 0.18)
4-0 @ 8.36% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 7.84% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.209 0.21)
4-1 @ 6.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
5-0 @ 5.72% (-0.223 -0.22)
1-0 @ 5% (0.202 0.2)
5-1 @ 4.59% (-0.134 -0.13)
6-0 @ 3.27% (-0.195 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.064 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.62% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.84% (-0.036 -0.04)
7-0 @ 1.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
7-1 @ 1.28% (-0.091 -0.09)
6-2 @ 1.05% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 4.73%
Total : 85.67%
1-1 @ 4.02% (0.199 0.2)
2-2 @ 2.76% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 1.46% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 1%
Total : 9.24%
1-2 @ 1.61% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 1.17% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 5.09%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Hazem

Al-Hilal
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Al Hazem
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 14
Al Hazem
0-9
Al-Hilal

Toze (21')
Mitrovic (14'), Kanoo (32'), Al-Qahtani (43'), Malcom (52', 55', 85'), Al-Shehri (79'), Al Burayk (81'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+3')
Al-Shehri (83'), Malcom (90+5')