Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Al Fateh	Draw	Al-Ahli
26.55% ( -0.2)	22.36% ( 0.22)	51.08% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 62.22% (

-1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.32% (

-1.24)

37.68% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.08% (

-1.34)

59.92% (

1.34)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.18% (

-0.79)

26.82% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.89% (

-1.05)

62.11% (

1.06)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.02% (

-0.45)

14.97% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.59% (

-0.85)

43.41% (

0.86)

Score Analysis

Al Fateh 26.55%

Al-Ahli 51.08%

Draw 22.36%

Al Fateh	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.15% Total : 26.55%	1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.36%	1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.1% Total : 51.08%