Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 58.16%. A win for Al Hazem had a probability of 21.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.32%) and 3-1 (7%). The likeliest Al Hazem win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Fateh in this match.