Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Hazem win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Hazem win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.