Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Fayha

Firmino (85')
Alnabit (90+2'), Kessie (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Haqawi (15'), Al Anzi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Fayha, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Raed 0-0 Al-Ahli
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Fayha

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 1-1 Al-Taawoun
Thursday, May 23 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 71.34%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 11.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 3-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
71.34% (0.042999999999992 0.04)16.69% (0.0010000000000012 0)11.97% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.65% (-0.154 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.44% (-0.124 -0.12)34.56% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.5% (-0.14 -0.14)56.5% (0.142 0.14)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.45% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)8.55% (0.022 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.43% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)29.57% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Al Fayha Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.75% (-0.153 -0.15)40.25% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.12% (-0.139 -0.14)76.88% (0.142 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 71.34%
    Al Fayha 11.97%
    Draw 16.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Fayha
2-0 @ 10.4% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.47% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.53% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.53% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 2.35% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.06%
6-1 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 71.34%
1-1 @ 7.7% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.44% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 16.69%
1-2 @ 3.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.06% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 11.97%

How you voted: Al-Ahli vs Al Fayha

Al-Ahli
68.8%
Draw
6.3%
Al Fayha
25.0%
16
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Fayha
0-4
Al-Ahli

Al-Safari (65'), Sakala (87')
Albirakan (11', 30'), Majrashi (17'), Mahrez (43' pen.)