Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 64.65%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 3-1 (7.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.99%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-2 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.