Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.09%) and 0-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 2-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
20.12% ( 0.02)	21.33% ( -0.02)	58.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.48% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.82% (

0.13)

40.17% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.45% (

0.13)

62.54% (

-0.13)

Al Fayha Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.42% (

0.09)

33.57% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.77% (

0.1)

70.22% (

-0.1)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.54% (

0.04)

13.45% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.56% (

0.09)

40.44% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Al Fayha 20.12%

Al-Nassr 58.54%

Draw 21.33%

Al Fayha	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 5.4% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.12%	1-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.33%	1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 58.54%