MX23RW : Tuesday, October 8 20:26:42| >> :300:86500:86500:
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Sep 20, 2024 at 4.55pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
4 - 2
Damac

Veiga (13'), Toney (46', 90+16'), Firmino (90+8')
Ibanez (30'), Al-Johani (30'), Veiga (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fallatah (45+9'), Chafai (66')
Fallatah (88'), Alkhaibari (90+5')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Damac.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Nassr 1-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, September 13 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Damac 3-1 Al Okhdood
Friday, September 13 at 4.50pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 11.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawDamac
70.09% (0.049999999999997 0.05) 18.2% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 11.7% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.06% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.055 0.05)42.61% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)65.02% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.03% (0.028000000000006 0.03)10.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.8% (0.062000000000012 0.06)35.2% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)46.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.26% (-0.004999999999999 -0)81.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 70.09%
    Damac 11.7%
    Draw 18.2%
Al-AhliDrawDamac
2-0 @ 12.32%
1-0 @ 11.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 9.08% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.02% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 70.09%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 18.2%
0-1 @ 3.92% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 11.7%

Head to Head
May 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Ahli
4-1
Damac
Al-Johani (7'), Albirakan (10'), Mahrez (19' pen.), Firmino (25')
Antolic (62')
Al Johani (44'), Chafai (70'), Making (83+1'), Making (90+1')
Chafai (77')
Nov 9, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Damac
2-2
Al-Ahli
Chafai (73'), Stanciu (90+1')
Hindi (10'), Alnabit (44')
Kessie (38'), Ibanez (90+7'), Hindi (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal66001861218
2Al Ittihad65011771015
3Al-Nassr64201431114
4Al ShababAl Shabab640253212
5Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun631274310
6Al Quadisiya631263310
7Al Riyadh63121011-110
8Al Ettifaq631256-110
9Al RaedAl Raed62139637
10Al-AhliAl-Ahli62138717
11Al Orubah6213610-47
12Al Khaleej621337-47
13Damac6204810-26
14Al Fayha6123512-75
15Al WahdaAl Wahda6123816-85
16Al Kholood6114712-54
17Al Okhdood6114611-54
18Al Fateh6105412-83


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!