Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 70.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 11.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Damac win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.