Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Damac had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.