Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 1
Damac

Jota (39'), Haji (49'), Al-Sahafi (79'), Al-Shamrani (88')
Al Mousa (62'), Al-Shanqeeti (65'), Haidar Al Nashri (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chafai (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Khaleej 1-1 Al Ittihad
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Damac

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 1-1 Al Fayha
Friday, May 17 at 5.15pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Damac had a probability of 34.34% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Damac win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawDamac
40.68% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)24.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)34.34% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.47% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12% (0.015000000000001 0.02)45.88% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81% (0.014999999999997 0.01)68.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (0.0049999999999955 0)22.47% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)56.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.13% (0.012 0.01)25.87% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.15% (0.016999999999996 0.02)60.85% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 40.68%
    Damac 34.34%
    Draw 24.98%
Al IttihadDrawDamac
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.48% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36%
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.2%
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 40.68%
1-1 @ 11.73%
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.98%
1-2 @ 7.93% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 7.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 5.31%
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.34%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Damac

Al Ittihad
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Damac
9.1%
11
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Damac
3-1
Al Ittihad
N'Koudou (12', 45+7'), Grohe (46' og.)
Al-Hawsawi (22')
Hamdallah (45+3' pen.)
Hamdallah (68'), Al-Shamrani (75'), Kadesh (90+2')
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