Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.