Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 80.37%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for Damac had a probability of 7.46%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.43%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.