Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 4
Sep 21, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
3 - 1
Al Ittihad

Mitrovic (3', 14' pen.), Al-Dawsari (37')
Malcom (45+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Benzema (86')
Kante (11'), Pereira (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Ittihad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 66.67%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 15.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.4%), while for an Al Ittihad win it was 1-2 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
66.67% (0.601 0.6)17.47% (0.169 0.17)15.86% (-0.773 -0.77)
Both teams to score 63.25% (-2.666 -2.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.09% (-2.485 -2.49)28.91% (2.482 2.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.13% (-3.108 -3.11)49.87% (3.104 3.1)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.89% (-0.53 -0.53)8.11% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.53% (-1.342 -1.34)28.47% (1.338 1.34)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.83% (-2.493 -2.49)31.17% (2.489 2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.49% (-3.007 -3.01)67.5% (3.001 3)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 66.67%
    Al Ittihad 15.86%
    Draw 17.47%
Al-HilalDrawAl Ittihad
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.263 0.26)
2-0 @ 7.98% (0.741 0.74)
3-1 @ 7.79% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.68% (0.46 0.46)
1-0 @ 6.35% (0.74 0.74)
4-1 @ 4.89% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
4-0 @ 4.2% (0.184 0.18)
4-2 @ 2.85% (-0.278 -0.28)
5-1 @ 2.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.11% (0.038 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.43% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.194 -0.19)
6-1 @ 1.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 66.67%
1-1 @ 7.4% (0.396 0.4)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.223 -0.22)
0-0 @ 2.53% (0.353 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.76% (-0.257 -0.26)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 17.47%
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 2.95% (0.23 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 1.72% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 15.86%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Ittihad

Al-Hilal
79.2%
Draw
16.7%
Al Ittihad
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 7pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Al Ittihad
0-2
Al-Hilal

Felipe (10'), Al-Amri (24'), Al-Ghamdi (35'), Al-Farhan (55'), Al-Ghamdi (85'), Hegazy (90+1')
Hamdallah (90+1')
Al-Shahrani (61'), Malcom (90+5')
Al-Faraj (37'), Milinkovic-Savic (68'), Albulayhi (90+1')
Mar 5, 2024 6pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Al-Hilal
2-0
Al Ittihad
Mitrovic (40' pen.), Al-Dawsari (42')
Milinkovic-Savic (79'), Koulibaly (81')

Kante (66')
Mar 1, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 22
Al-Hilal
3-1
Al Ittihad
Al-Shehri (39'), Malcom (59'), Abdul Hamid (67')
Al-Shehri (50'), Al-Faraj (77')
Kante (12')
Fabinho (35'), Al-Sahafi (47'), Hegazy (50')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 5
Al Ittihad
3-4
Al-Hilal
Romarinho (16'), Benzema (38'), Hamdallah (45+8')
Hawsawi (41'), Bamsaud (63'), Al-Amri (90+12')
Mitrovic (20', 60', 65'), Al-Dawsari (71')
Albulayhi (88')
rhs 2.0


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