Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 38.33%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.