Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 82.51%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 5.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-4 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.45%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.