Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Sep 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
7 - 1
Al Wahda

Benzema (2', 47', 89'), Aouar (13'), Fabinho (45+4'), Al-Sagour (55'), Al-Shehri (87')
Kante (30')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Amyn (31')
Cretu (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al-Taawoun
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Wahda

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al Wahda 2-1 Al Orubah
Wednesday, August 28 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 53.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Wahda
53.19% (1.215 1.22)23.7% (-0.238 -0.24)23.11% (-0.98 -0.98)
Both teams to score 53.85% (-0.382 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.97% (0.042999999999999 0.04)47.03% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.72% (0.041 0.04)69.27% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.37% (0.47199999999999 0.47)17.62% (-0.473 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78% (0.818 0.82)48.21% (-0.818 -0.82)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.37% (-0.845 -0.84)34.63% (0.844 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.65% (-0.906 -0.91)71.35% (0.905 0.91)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 53.19%
    Al Wahda 23.11%
    Draw 23.69%
Al IttihadDrawAl Wahda
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.2% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.119 0.12)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.231 0.23)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.45% (0.088 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.134 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 53.19%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 6.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.47% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.96% (-0.197 -0.2)
0-2 @ 3.43% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 23.11%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda

Al Ittihad
94.7%
Draw
5.3%
Al Wahda
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 21
Al Ittihad
2-1
Al Wahda
Hamdallah (84' pen., 90+4')
Hamdallah (90+6')
Al Mousa (90')
Ighalo (35')
Al Bukhari (37'), Makki (45+10'), Noor (58'), El Yamiq (82')
Donis (38')
> Preview
Aug 28, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Al Wahda
0-3
Al Ittihad

Noor (45+5'), De Moraes (45+6')
Romarinho (63'), Jota (67'), Coronado (73')
Hamdallah (61')
> Preview