Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Hilal
31.24% ( -1.17)	23.79% ( 0.28)	44.97% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 60.54% (

-1.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.63% (

-1.86)

41.37% (

1.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.23% (

-1.91)

63.76% (

1.9)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.42% (

-1.6)

25.57% (

1.6)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.55% (

-2.23)

60.45% (

2.23)

Al-Hilal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.35% (

-0.38)

18.65% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.02% (

-0.64)

49.97% (

0.64)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 31.24%

Al-Hilal 44.97%

Draw 23.78%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al-Hilal
2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.24%	1-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.39) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.56) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.47% Total : 44.97%