Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sport City Stadium

Al Kholood
2 - 4
Al-Hilal

Al-Hammami (71'), Troost-Ekong (87' pen.)
N'Doram (55'), Al-Safari (59')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Koulibaly (38'), Malcom (43'), Albulayhi (45+3'), Lodi (48')
Al-Dawsari (53'), Bono (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Kholood and Al-Hilal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 71.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 12.65%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.22%) and 1-3 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 2-1 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al KholoodDrawAl-Hilal
12.65% (0.036999999999999 0.04)16.3% (0.074999999999999 0.07)71.04% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.188 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.36% (-0.28500000000001 -0.29)30.63% (0.277 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.04% (-0.34 -0.34)51.95% (0.332 0.33)
Al Kholood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.52% (-0.139 -0.14)36.48% (0.131 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.73% (-0.137 -0.14)73.26% (0.13 0.13)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.35% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)7.64% (0.091 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.7% (-0.23999999999999 -0.24)27.29% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Al Kholood 12.66%
    Al-Hilal 71.04%
    Draw 16.3%
Al KholoodDrawAl-Hilal
2-1 @ 3.65% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.81% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.23%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 12.66%
1-1 @ 7.23% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 2.79% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 16.3%
1-2 @ 9.3% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 9.22% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 7.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.9% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
1-4 @ 5.12% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 5.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-5 @ 2.63% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 2.61% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.58% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-6 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 71.04%

How you voted: Al Kholood vs Al-Hilal

Al Kholood
3.7%
Draw
3.7%
Al-Hilal
92.6%
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