Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Quadisiya would win this match.