Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.