Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Al Ettifaq in this match.