Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 36.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.