Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.