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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13
Dec 6, 2024 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Nassr

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al-Nassr

Benzema (55'), Bergwijn (90+1')
Pereira (60'), Bergwijn (64'), Benzema (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ronaldo (57')
Brozovic (24'), Al-Ghanam (42'), Laporte (59'), Otavio (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, November 30 at 2.25pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Damac
Friday, November 29 at 2.40pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-1 Al-Nassr

 Al Ittihad may have lost each of the last two meetings with Friday's visitors, but the hosts are in undeniably greater form heading into this game than their opponents, and we expect that to continue with a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl-Nassr
32.43% (-0.157 -0.16) 22.86% (0.226 0.23) 44.71% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 64.55% (-0.929 -0.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.65% (-1.19 -1.19)36.35% (1.191 1.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.52% (-1.313 -1.31)58.48% (1.314 1.31)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.56% (-0.65299999999999 -0.65)22.44% (0.654 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (-0.987 -0.99)55.98% (0.988 0.99)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.492 -0.49)16.77% (0.492 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.29% (-0.887 -0.89)46.71% (0.888 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 32.43%
    Al-Nassr 44.71%
    Draw 22.86%
Al IttihadDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.62% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 4.2% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 3.74% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 32.43%
1-1 @ 10.04% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.76% (0.217 0.22)
3-3 @ 1.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.06 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.72% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 6% (0.156 0.16)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.99% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 3.57% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 44.71%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al-Nassr

Al Ittihad
55.2%
Draw
14.9%
Al-Nassr
29.9%
87
Head to Head
May 27, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 34
Al-Nassr
4-2
Al Ittihad
Ronaldo (45+3', 69'), Ghareeb (78' pen.), Al Nemer (90+5')
Mane (3'), Al Amri (90+5'), Al Amri (90+7')
Al-Shamrani (89'), Fabinho (90+2')
Al Menhali (51')
Al Menhali (66')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Al Ittihad
2-5
Al-Nassr
Hamdallah (14', 51')
Al-Ghamdi (28'), Kante (40'), Hamdallah (47'), Fabinho (60')
Fabinho (66')
Ronaldo (19' pen., 68'), Talisca (38'), Mane (75', 82')
Castro (29'), Fofana (30'), Telles (45+11'), Laporte (47'), Alawjami (70')
> Preview
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal15131148143440
2Al Ittihad15131137112640
3Al Quadisiya15101422111131
4Al-Nassr1585229141529
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli158252314926
6Al ShababAl Shabab158252215726
7Al Khaleej157262119223
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun156451815322
9Al Riyadh156451920-122
10Damac155372226-418
11Al Ettifaq155371623-718
12Al Kholood154471927-816
13Al RaedAl Raed154291926-714
14Al Orubah1541101133-2213
15Al Okhdood153391824-612
16Al Fayha152671225-1312
17Al WahdaAl Wahda153391935-1612
18Al Fateh1513111235-236
> Saudi Pro League Full Table


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