Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 13

Dec 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
2 - 1
Al-Nassr

Benzema (55'), Bergwijn (90+1')
Pereira (60'), Bergwijn (64'), Benzema (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ronaldo (57')
Brozovic (24'), Al-Ghanam (42'), Laporte (59'), Otavio (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Ittihad

All competitions

Last Game: Al Ettifaq 0-4 Al Ittihad
Saturday, November 30 at 2.25pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Damac
Friday, November 29 at 2.40pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 44.71%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.72%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Ittihad in this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Nassr
32.43% ( -0.16)	22.86% ( 0.23)	44.71% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 64.55% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

-1.19)

36.35% (

1.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

-1.31)

58.48% (

1.31)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.56% (

-0.65)

22.44% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.02% (

-0.99)

55.98% (

0.99)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.23% (

-0.49)

16.77% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.29% (

-0.89)

46.71% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 32.43%

Al-Nassr 44.71%

Draw 22.86%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.3% Total : 32.43%	1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 6% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.37% Total : 44.71%