Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Al Kholood had a probability of 10.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-3 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.28%), while for an Al Kholood win it was 2-1 (3.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.