Al-Nassr
Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 5
Sep 27, 2024 at 4.20pm UK
King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
2 - 0
Al Wahda

Gabriel (41'), Ronaldo (56' pen.)
Otavio (45+4'), Bento (74'), Al Hassan (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakshween (23')
Bakshween (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Wahda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Kholood
Thursday, September 19 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 74.23%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 10.49%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 3-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.98%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 1-2 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
74.23% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)15.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)10.49% (0.124 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.84% (0.606 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.2% (0.50800000000001 0.51)31.8% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.67% (0.593 0.59)53.33% (-0.595 -0.59)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.72% (0.094999999999999 0.09)7.28% (-0.097 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.65% (0.25099999999999 0.25)26.35% (-0.253 -0.25)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (0.59200000000001 0.59)40.85% (-0.593 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (0.524 0.52)77.42% (-0.527 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Al-Nassr 74.23%
    Al Wahda 10.49%
    Draw 15.28%
Al-NassrDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 10.2% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.92% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.98% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-0 @ 5.84% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.23% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 3.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.34% (0.058 0.06)
6-0 @ 1.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.036 0.04)
6-1 @ 1.2% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 74.23%
1-1 @ 6.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.09% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.97% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 15.28%
1-2 @ 3.12% (0.03 0.03)
0-1 @ 2.66% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.22% (0.038 0.04)
0-2 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.93% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 10.49%

How you voted: Al-Nassr vs Al Wahda

Al-Nassr
92.2%
Draw
3.9%
Al Wahda
3.9%
51
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 30
Al-Nassr
6-0
Al Wahda
Ronaldo (5', 12', 52'), Otavio (18'), Mane (45'), Abdulhakim Al Fatil (88')

De Moraes (38'), Fajr (87')
Nov 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 13
Al Wahda
1-3
Al-Nassr
De Moraes (81')
Bakshween (60')
Telles (11'), Al Amri (39'), Ronaldo (49')
Oct 16, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Al Wahda
1-5
Al-Nassr
Matar (90+3')
Pedro (45+3')
Hamdallah (7'), Masharipov (52', 65'), Asiri (56'), Al Naji (75')
Qassem (32'), Talisca (44'), Al Naji (86'), Alkhaibari (90+1')
Aug 12, 2019 4.40pm
Round of 16
Al Wahda
2-3
Al-Nassr
Al Menhali (27'), Tagliabue (79')
Matar (40'), Leonardo (83')
Hamdallah (41'), Giuliano (45', 62')
Al Khaibari (47'), Jones (56'), Al Mansour (69'), Al Ghuwainem (74'), Hawsawi (83'), Al Obaid (86')
rhs 2.0


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