Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Al-Nassr in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Nassr.

Result
Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
25% ( 0.56)	22.5% ( 0.22)	52.49% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 60.11% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.23% (

-0.45)

39.76% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.88% (

-0.47)

62.12% (

0.47)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.92% (

0.2)

29.07% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.01% (

0.25)

64.99% (

-0.25)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.75% (

-0.42)

15.24% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08% (

-0.79)

43.91% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Al Shabab 25%

Al-Nassr 52.49%

Draw 22.5%

Al Shabab	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.31% Total : 25%	1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.5%	1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 6.07% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.49%