Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 10.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.