Saudi Pro League Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 4.15pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT King Saud University Stadium
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 17' goal
  • Sadio Mane 29' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 64' yellowcard
  • Sadio Mane 71' goal
  • yellowcard Hamed Al Maqati 61'

Al-Nassr vs Al Orubah - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 27, 2024 4.20pm
Al-Nassr 2 - 0 Al Wahda
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Cristiano Ronaldo

Al Orubah

All competitions
Saudi Pro League
Last game
Sep 28, 2024 4.45pm
Al Orubah 1 - 0 Damac
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Omar Al Somah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result

Al-Nassr 73.58% (+0.34)
Draw 15.81% (-0.15)
Al Orubah 10.6% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.05% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 65.78% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 34.22% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 43.89% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 56.11% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 25.35% (+0.17)
Under 4.5 74.65% (-0.17)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5 92.02% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 7.98% (-0.12)
Over 1.5 71.84% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 28.16% (-0.28)

Al Orubah Goals

Over 0.5 57.65% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 42.35% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 21.26% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 78.74% (+0.19)

Score analysis

Al-Nassr 73.58%
Draw 15.81%
Al Orubah 10.6%
Al-Nassr
2-0 @ 10.8% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 9.1% (+0.08)
1-0 @ 8.55% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 5.75% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 4.94% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 2.91% (+0.06)
5-1 @ 2.5% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 2.12% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.23% (+0.04)
5-2 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
6-1 @ 1.05% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 73.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.34% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 3.38% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 15.81%
Al Orubah
1-2 @ 3.15% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 2.9% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 10.6%