Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 6

Oct 5, 2024 at 4.15pm UK

King Saud University Stadium

Al-Nassr
3 - 0
Al Orubah

Ronaldo (17' pen.), Mane (29', 71')
Laporte (64')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Al Maqati (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Nassr and Al Orubah, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Saudi Pro League

Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Wahda
Friday, September 27 at 4.20pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Al Orubah

All competitions

Last Game: Al Orubah 1-0 Damac
Saturday, September 28 at 4.45pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Al Orubah had a probability of 10.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.34%), while for an Al Orubah win it was 1-2 (3.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Orubah
73.58% ( 0.33)	15.81% ( -0.15)	10.6% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.78% (

0.17)

34.22% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.89% (

0.19)

56.11% (

-0.19)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.02% (

0.11)

7.98% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.84% (

0.28)

28.16% (

-0.28)

Al Orubah Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.65% (

-0.22)

42.35% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.26% (

-0.19)

78.74% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 73.58%

Al Orubah 10.6%

Draw 15.81%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Orubah
2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 73.58%	1-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 15.81%	1-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 2.9% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.25% Total : 10.6%