Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 84.35%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.96%) and 0-4 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.04%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-0 (1.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Nassr
5% ( -0.38)	10.65% ( -0.41)	84.35% ( 0.79)

Both teams to score 44.25% (

-1.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70% (

0.17)

29.99% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.81% (

0.2)

51.19% (

-0.21)

Al Riyadh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.6% (

-1.24)

53.4% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.1% (

-0.79)

86.9% (

0.78)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.96% (

0.17)

5.04% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.91% (

0.5)

20.09% (

-0.5)

Score Analysis

Al Riyadh 5%

Al-Nassr 84.35%

Draw 10.65%

Al Riyadh	Draw	Al-Nassr
1-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.73% Total : 5%	1-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.55% Total : 10.65%	0-2 @ 12.01% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 11.96% ( 0.28) 0-4 @ 8.94% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.18) 1-3 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 5.34% ( 0.24) 1-5 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 2.66% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.12) 2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.07) 1-6 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 0-7 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 2-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.43% Total : 84.35%