Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Riyadh win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Riyadh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Al Okhdood win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Riyadh would win this match.