Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Taawoun win with a probability of 48.36%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Taawoun win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Al-Taawoun in this match.