Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fateh win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fateh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.