Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Fayha win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Al Raed had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Fayha win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al Raed win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.