Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 65.85%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 0-1 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for an Al-Taawoun win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.