Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Quadisiya win with a probability of 45%. A win for Al-Taawoun had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Quadisiya win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Al-Taawoun win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.