Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 81.46%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 3-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.12%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fateh
81.46% ( -0.13)	11.56% ( 0.15)	6.98% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 54.41% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.15% (

-1.02)

24.85% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.27% (

-1.35)

44.73% (

1.35)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.43% (

-0.2)

4.57% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.33% (

-0.64)

18.67% (

0.64)

Al Fateh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.02% (

-0.94)

42.98% (

0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.72% (

-0.81)

79.28% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 81.46%

Al Fateh 6.98%

Draw 11.56%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Fateh
3-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 5-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.1) 7-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 5.2% Total : 81.46%	1-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.17% Total : 11.56%	1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 6.98%