Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 16

Jan 21, 2025 at 2.50pm UK

Al Khaleej Club Stadium

Al Khaleej
1 - 3
Al-Nassr

Fortounis (80' pen.)
Saleh (23'), bin Othman bin Harun Al Hawsawi (64'), Martins (82'), Rebocho (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ronaldo (65', 90+8'), Al-Ghanam (81')
Boushal (45'), Al-Najdi (76'), Simakan (84'), Alkhaibari (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Khaleej and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Khaleej

All competitions

Last Game: Al Khaleej 3-0 Al Orubah
Friday, January 17 at 1.15pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Al-Nassr

All competitions

Last Game: Al-Taawoun 1-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, January 17 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 71.91%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 11.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-3 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 2-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Nassr
11.66% ( -0.17)	16.43% ( -0.27)	71.91% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 54.58% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.85% (

0.85)

34.15% (

-0.85)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.96% (

0.95)

56.04% (

-0.96)

Al Khaleej Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.53% (

0.3)

40.47% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.92% (

0.27)

77.08% (

-0.27)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.67% (

0.3)

8.32% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.99% (

0.75)

29.01% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Al Khaleej 11.66%

Al-Nassr 71.9%

Draw 16.43%

Al Khaleej	Draw	Al-Nassr
2-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.66%	1-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.43%	0-2 @ 10.4% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 8.63% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 5.36% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 4.85% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.06) 0-5 @ 2.67% ( 0.08) 1-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) 1-6 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 71.9%