Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 50.43%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 25.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 0-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Shabab
50.43% ( -0.34)	23.94% ( 0.17)	25.63% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.29% (

-0.6)

45.7% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.97% (

-0.57)

68.03% (

0.57)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.83% (

-0.36)

18.17% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.84% (

-0.62)

49.16% (

0.61)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24% (

-0.18)

31.76% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81% (

-0.21)

68.18% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 50.43%

Al Shabab 25.63%

Draw 23.93%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Shabab
1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.49% Total : 50.43%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.93%	0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.7% Total : 25.63%