Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Shabab
47.47% ( -0.55)	25.79% ( 0.36)	26.74% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

-0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-1.29)

52.59% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.76% (

-1.12)

74.24% (

1.12)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.84% (

-0.78)

22.15% (

0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.46% (

-1.19)

55.54% (

1.19)

Al Shabab Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.47% (

-0.54)

34.53% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.75% (

-0.57)

71.25% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Al-Ahli 47.46%

Al Shabab 26.74%

Draw 25.79%

Al-Ahli	Draw	Al Shabab
1-0 @ 11.52% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.46%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.18% Total : 26.74%