Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.51%. A win for Al Fayha had a probability of 23.44% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.64%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Al Fayha win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.