Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 at 5pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al-Ahli
1 - 0
Al Wahda

Mahrez (55')
Majrashi (42'), Kessie (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bacuna (57')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Ahli and Al Wahda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al Fayha 0-1 Al-Ahli
Friday, November 22 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Wahda

All competitions
Last Game: Al Wahda 1-0 Al-Taawoun
Saturday, November 23 at 3.15pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 75.04%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Al Wahda had a probability of 9.28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.07%) and 1-0 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for an Al Wahda win it was 0-1 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
75.04% (0.295 0.3)15.69% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)9.28% (-0.211 -0.21)
Both teams to score 47.93% (-0.60899999999999 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.01% (-0.314 -0.31)38% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.75% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34)60.26% (0.337 0.34)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.43% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)8.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.38% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)29.63% (0.026 0.03)
Al Wahda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (-0.657 -0.66)47.58% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.08% (-0.493 -0.49)82.92% (0.495 0.5)
Score Analysis
    Al-Ahli 75.02%
    Al Wahda 9.28%
    Draw 15.69%
Al-AhliDrawAl Wahda
2-0 @ 12.3% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 10.07% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 10.01% (0.139 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 6.19% (0.082 0.08)
4-1 @ 4.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
5-0 @ 3.04% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.26% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.042 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 75.02%
1-1 @ 7.44% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 15.69%
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 9.28%

Head to Head
Apr 5, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Al Wahda
1-1
Al-Ahli
Noor (48')
Ighalo (37'), Bakshween (46'), El Yamiq (82'), Goodwin (90')
Ibanez (83')
Alnabit (66'), Mendy (90')
Hindi (79')
Oct 21, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 10
Al-Ahli
3-1
Al Wahda
Saint-Maximin (45+3'), Ibanez (68'), Mahrez (84')
Hindi (47')
Hindi (51' og.)
Ighalo (8'), Duarte (35'), Noor (90+6')
Hejji (90+1')
Sep 20, 2020 4pm
Group Stage
Al-Ahli
P-P
Al Wahda
Feb 10, 2020 3.35pm
Group Stage
Al Wahda
1-1
Al-Ahli
Chang-woo (90')
Alkarbi (66')
Asiri (60')
Al Mosailem (90')