Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Jan 15, 2025 at 3.05pm UK
Al-Shabab Club Stadium (Riyadh)

Al Shabab
2 - 1
Al Riyadh

Podence (72'), Hamdallah (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Al-Shehri (56')
Coverage of the Saudi Pro League clash between Al Shabab and Al Riyadh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al Shabab

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 3-2 Al Shabab
Friday, January 10 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Riyadh 2-2 Al Khaleej
Thursday, January 9 at 3pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 51.37%. A win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Al Riyadh win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Shabab would win this match.

Result
Al ShababDrawAl Riyadh
51.37% (0.107 0.11)23.78% (0.015000000000001 0.02)24.85% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 55.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.3% (-0.174 -0.17)45.7% (0.174 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.98% (-0.167 -0.17)68.02% (0.167 0.17)
Al Shabab Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.19% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)17.81% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.46% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)48.54% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.194 -0.19)32.39% (0.194 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.09% (-0.221 -0.22)68.9% (0.221 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Al Shabab 51.37%
    Al Riyadh 24.85%
    Draw 23.78%
Al ShababDrawAl Riyadh
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 8.59% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 51.37%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.77% (0.043 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.013 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.33% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 24.85%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 26
Al Shabab
1-0
Al Riyadh
Al-Shuwayyi (33' og.)
Al-Muwallad (90+1')

Al-Zaqaan (90+2')
Oct 5, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
Al Riyadh
2-2
Al Shabab
Gray (36'), Juanmi (73')
Gray (54'), Al Shwirekh (58')
Saiss (53'), Santos (87')
Al-Sibyani (45')
rhs 2.0


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