Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Shabab win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Al Fayha had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Shabab win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for an Al Fayha win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Al Shabab in this match.