Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result
Al-Rayyan	Draw	Al-Ahli
24.62% ( 0.42)	21.68% ( 0.01)	53.7% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 62.64% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.75% (

0.39)

36.25% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.63% (

0.43)

58.37% (

-0.43)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.52% (

0.54)

27.47% (

-0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.03% (

0.69)

62.97% (

-0.7)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.37% (

-0)

13.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.21% (

-0)

40.79% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Al-Rayyan 24.62%

Al-Ahli 53.7%

Draw 21.68%

Al-Rayyan	Draw	Al-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.73% Total : 24.62%	1-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.68%	1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 4.94% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.46% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.27% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.8% Total : 53.7%