AFC Champions League
Mar 4, 2025 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Ahmad Bin Ali Stadium
  • Andre Amaro 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Roger Guedes 71' goal
  • Adam Bareiro 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Galeno 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 34'
  • yellowcard Ziyad Al-Johani 71'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 86'
  • goal Firas Albirakan 90'+5'

Al-Rayyan vs Al-Ahli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Rayyan

All competitions

Al-Ahli

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 53.7%. A win for Al-Rayyan had a probability of 24.62% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Al-Rayyan win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ahli would win this match.

Result

Al-Rayyan 24.62% (+0.42)
Draw 21.68% (+0.02)
Al-Ahli 53.7% (-0.44)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.64% (+0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.75% (+0.40)
Under 2.5 36.25% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 41.63% (+0.43)
Under 3.5 58.37% (-0.44)
Over 4.5 23.46% (+0.35)
Under 4.5 76.53% (-0.36)

Al-Rayyan Goals

Over 0.5 72.52% (+0.54)
Under 0.5 27.47% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 37.03% (+0.69)
Under 1.5 62.97% (-0.70)

Al-Ahli Goals

Over 0.5 86.37% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.63% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 59.21% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 40.79% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Al-Rayyan 24.62%
Draw 21.68%
Al-Ahli 53.7%
Al-Rayyan
2-1 @ 6.23% (+0.07)
1-0 @ 4.84% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.13% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 2.68% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.67% (+0.07)
3-0 @ 1.35% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 24.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.64% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 6.21% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.78% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.68%
Al-Ahli
1-2 @ 9.61% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 7.44% (-0.15)
1-3 @ 6.38% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 4.12% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 3.18% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
2-4 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
1-5 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.78%
Total : 53.7%