Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2025 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 3
Al-Ahli

Al-Dawsari (74'), Leonardo (83' pen.)
Leonardo (29'), Al-Dawsari (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Toney (47', 53', 87')
Yaslam (6'), Kessie (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Hilal 5-1 Al Kholood
Tuesday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Saudi Pro League

Al-Ahli

All competitions
Last Game: Al-Ahli 4-1 Al Quadisiya
Tuesday, February 25 at 5.30pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Al-Ahli had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.73%) and 3-1 (6.66%). The likeliest Al-Ahli win was 1-2 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
54.72% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)20.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)24.56% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 66.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)31.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)53.06% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.23% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)11.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.06% (-0.012 -0.01)36.93% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.03% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.96% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)59.61% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 54.72%
    Al-Ahli 24.56%
    Draw 20.72%
Al-HilalDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 6.73%
3-1 @ 6.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.62% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-3 @ 1.14%
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.72%
1-1 @ 8.72% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 2.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 6.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 2.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.8%
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.56%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al-Ahli

Al-Hilal
64.3%
Draw
21.4%
Al-Ahli
14.3%
28
Head to Head
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Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Veiga (12')
Ibanez (37'), Hamidou (75'), Majrashi (90')
Mitrovic (56', 78')
Al-Dawsari (75'), Mitrovic (90+4')
> Preview
May 6, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 28
Al-Ahli
1-2
Al-Hilal
Albirakan (30')
Kessie (70'), Demiral (70'), Yaslam (83')
Mitrovic (52'), Malcom (89')
Tambakti (50')
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Oct 27, 2023 7pm
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Al-Hilal
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Al-Ahli
Milinkovic-Savic (1'), Mitrovic (37'), Ibanez (84' og.)
Saint-Maximin (58')
Ibanez (32'), Hindi (45+4'), Al-Asmari (88'), Kessie (90+1')
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Aug 13, 2019 6.30pm
Round of 16
Al-Hilal
0-1
Al-Ahli

Al Dawsari (89'), Babhir (90'), Gomis (93')
Asiri (42')
Al Fatil (37'), Souza (55'), Muwashar (68'), Al Owais (93')
Aug 6, 2019 5.40pm
Round of 16
Al-Ahli
2-4
Al-Hilal
Al Somah (6'), Djaniny (39')
Al Khabrani (2'), Aleksic (45'), Al Somah (61'), Souza (90')
Gomis (15', 48', 65'), Al-Hafith (81')
Albulayhi (34'), Al Dosari (36'), Otayf (90')