Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 20
Feb 14, 2025 at 5pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
1 - 1
Al Riyadh

Al-Dawsari (60')
Kanoo (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Konate (24', 45+1')
Mensah (87'), (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Riyadh, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Al-Hilal

All competitions
Last Game: Damac 2-2 Al-Hilal
Saturday, February 8 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League

Al Riyadh

All competitions
Last Game: Al Kholood 3-2 Al Riyadh
Saturday, February 8 at 1.55pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 87.54%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for Al Riyadh had a probability of 4.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 4-1 with a probability of 7.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 4-0 (6.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 2-2 (2.73%), while for an Al Riyadh win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
87.54% (0.675 0.67)7.48% (-0.2569 -0.26)4.99% (-0.4149 -0.41)
Both teams to score 66.07% (-1.96 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.75% (-0.529 -0.53)10.25% (0.532 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
77.29% (-0.94200000000001 -0.94)22.71% (0.945 0.95)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.46% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)1.54% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
92.04% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)7.96% (0.098 0.1)
Al Riyadh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (-1.975 -1.97)32.9% (1.977 1.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.53% (-2.254 -2.25)69.47% (2.257 2.26)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 87.54%
    Al Riyadh 4.99%
    Draw 7.48%
Al-HilalDrawAl Riyadh
4-1 @ 7.12% (0.059 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.82% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 6.4% (0.389 0.39)
3-0 @ 6.14% (0.393 0.39)
5-1 @ 5.94% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 5.35% (0.306 0.31)
2-1 @ 4.9% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.298 0.3)
6-1 @ 4.14% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 3.96% (-0.185 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.79% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-0 @ 3.72% (0.201 0.2)
5-2 @ 3.31% (-0.167 -0.17)
7-1 @ 2.47% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
6-2 @ 2.3% (-0.125 -0.13)
7-0 @ 2.22% (0.112 0.11)
1-0 @ 2.11% (0.149 0.15)
4-3 @ 1.47% (-0.154 -0.15)
7-2 @ 1.37% (-0.08 -0.08)
8-1 @ 1.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-3 @ 1.23% (-0.133 -0.13)
8-0 @ 1.16% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 5.94%
Total : 87.54%
2-2 @ 2.73% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-1 @ 2.35% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 7.48%
1-2 @ 1.31% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 4.99%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Riyadh

Al-Hilal
96.4%
Draw
0.0%
Al Riyadh
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 3
Al Riyadh
0-3
Al-Hilal

Kal (30'), Al-Khaibari (57'), Assiri (83')
Al-Dawsari (53'), Mitrovic (80', 90+10')
Koulibaly (24'), Jesus (25'), Cancelo (59')
Mar 8, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 23
Al Riyadh
1-3
Al-Hilal
Albulayhi (52' og.)
Hellmann (52'), N'Dong (56'), Al Shwirekh (63'), Campana (66'), Musona (68'), Al-Shuwayyi (90')
Neves (66' pen.), Michael (75'), Mitrovic (90+3' pen.)
Abdul Hamid (51')
> Preview
Sep 15, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Al-Hilal
6-1
Al Riyadh
Mitrovic (30' pen.), Al-Shahrani (45+4'), Al-Dawsari (68'), Malcom (83'), Al-Dawsari (87' pen., 90+5')
Abdul Hamid (33')
Al-Zaqaan (90+6')
Toure (21'), N'Dong (34'), Musona (40'), Juanmi (45+8')
> Preview