Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 18
Jan 31, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
4 - 0
Al Okhdood

Cesar (4'), Milinkovic-Savic (43'), Leonardo (45+2', 55')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kone (26'), Godwin (29'), Awadh Al Yami (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Al Okhdood, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Hilal 4-0 Al-Shorta
Tuesday, November 25 at 6.15pm in AFC Champions League
Next Game: Sharjah vs. Al-Hilal
Monday, December 22 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-1 Al Shabab
Sunday, November 23 at 3.05pm in Saudi Pro League
Next Game: Al-Nassr vs. Al Okhdood
Saturday, December 27 at 2.50pm in Saudi Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 82.88%. A draw had a probability of 10.2% and a win for Al Okhdood had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.8%) and 4-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.91%), while for an Al Okhdood win it was 1-2 (1.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawAl Okhdood
82.88% (2.111 2.11)10.22% (-0.744 -0.74)6.9% (-1.371 -1.37)
Both teams to score 61.93% (-4.259 -4.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
82.75% (-1.402 -1.4)17.25% (1.4 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
65.93% (-2.136 -2.14)34.07% (2.133 2.13)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
96.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)3.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
86.31% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)13.68% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Al Okhdood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-4.393 -4.39)36.12% (4.391 4.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-4.751 -4.75)72.9% (4.747 4.75)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 82.88%
    Al Okhdood 6.9%
    Draw 10.22%
Al-HilalDrawAl Okhdood
3-1 @ 7.95% (0.078 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.8% (0.948 0.95)
4-1 @ 6.94% (0.067 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.83% (0.067 0.07)
4-0 @ 6.81% (0.828 0.83)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.815 0.82)
5-1 @ 4.84% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 4.76% (0.578 0.58)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.47 -0.47)
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.467 0.47)
4-2 @ 3.53% (-0.411 -0.41)
6-1 @ 2.82% (0.027 0.03)
6-0 @ 2.77% (0.336 0.34)
5-2 @ 2.47% (-0.287 -0.29)
6-2 @ 1.44% (-0.167 -0.17)
7-1 @ 1.41% (0.014 0.01)
7-0 @ 1.38% (0.167 0.17)
4-3 @ 1.2% (-0.31 -0.31)
Other @ 5.36%
Total : 82.88%
1-1 @ 3.91% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.404 -0.4)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.354 -0.35)
0-0 @ 1.1% (0.134 0.13)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 10.22%
1-2 @ 1.99% (-0.231 -0.23)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.305 -0.31)
0-1 @ 1.12% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 6.9%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Al Okhdood

Al-Hilal
88.9%
Draw
11.1%
Al Okhdood
0.0%
9
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 7pm
gameweek 1
Al Okhdood
0-3
Al-Hilal

Ahmed Yousef Hawsawi (20'), Al Muwallad (30'), Al Zabdani (39')
Mitrovic (4', 40'), Milinkovic-Savic (45+1')
Apr 2, 2024 8pm
gameweek 26
Al-Hilal
3-0
Al Okhdood
Al-Shehri (16'), Malcom (66'), Al-Dawsari (73')
Malcom (65')

Al Jahif (56')
Oct 7, 2023 4pm
gameweek 9
Al Okhdood
0-3
Al-Hilal

Al Salim (27'), Awadh Al Yami (45'), Burca (81')
Awadh Al Yami (45+4')
Michael (10'), Milinkovic-Savic (71', 83')
Neves (41')
rhs 2.0


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